Shohoz Shonchoy's Product 5: Research
Research questions: Piloting P5 should provide answers to two questions: a: Would this lower-volume model (featuring fewer clients with lower-value transactions) cover costs, or would it always require subsidy? b: With no link between them, what would saving and borrowing behaviour
be? (We assumed that because Shohoz Shonchoy was, in 2002, a new MFI in
an area that had been plagued by fraudulent operators, loans would,
initally at least, be much more popular than savings (indeed, our
concern to gain the confidence of clients was one reason for offering
wholly unsecured loans in the first place). A further question was: c: Would the socio-economic status of clients affect their use of the prouct?
Findings after 5 years: a: P5 has covered costs.
It made its first monthly surplus in February 2003, after 10 months of
operation, at a time when there were 356 clients served by 3
Collectors. Since then it has consistently achieved modest surpluses.(In
this analysis all conventional costs are covered, including generous
provision against loan loss. The original start-up capital continues
interest free, but was in any case very modest). We conclude that low-volume money-management products for the rural poor are viable. b: As we expected, clients initially borrowed quickly and made modest savings. But, as they satisfied their most pressing needs for capital, and gained confidence in Shohoz Shonchoy, more and more of them prefer to build capital in P5 through saving than to access it through loans.
At end 2006 the savings portfolio exceeded the loans oustanding. Of the
top 100 savers, all but 4 hold savings balances larger than their loan
balances, and 81 of them hold no loan at all. Conversely, 76 of the 100
clients with the lowest savings balances do hold loans, mostly larger
than their savings balances. It appears
that P5 provides the flexibility for a variety of preferences for
saving and/or borrowing, but the overall trend is towards more saving
and less borrowing. c: The analysis of behaviour according to economic status is
now underway (mid 2007). We are `wealth-ranking` the 100 oldest clients
of P5, in order to examine any differences in saving and borrowing
behaviour and volumes between high-ranked and low-ranked clients. Watch
this space! |
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